Delfin Sia Go, John Page's Africa at a Turning Point?: Growth, Aid, and External Shocks PDF

By Delfin Sia Go, John Page

ISBN-10: 0821372777

ISBN-13: 9780821372777

ISBN-10: 0821372785

ISBN-13: 9780821372784

Sub-Saharan Africa (Africa) is the area s largest improvement problem. a lot of the continent ignored 20 years of monetary growth among 1975 and 1995, with the end result that common source of revenue according to individual used to be almost unchanged among independence and the flip of the twenty first Century. Lagging at the back of the remainder of the constructing global in approximately each indicator of human health, it's also the continent the place, on present projections, many of the global financial institution millennium improvement ambitions (MDGs) are not going to be met. but, there's renewed desire in recent times. because the mid-1990s, an acceleration of monetary progress in a lot of Africa has produced emerging earning and swifter human improvement. This progress acceleration has raised questions and expectancies approximately Africa s improvement. Is there a turnaround in Africa s economic system? what is going to ascertain even if development persists? Africa at a Turning aspect seems to be at interrelated points of Africa's contemporary monetary revival. It examines Africa's contemporary progress within the context of its lengthy historical past of development accelerations, and collapses and seeks to respond to numerous questions - Is Africa certainly at a turning element? Have African international locations realized from earlier coverage and institutional error? And are the industrial basics ultimately pointing in the direction of extra sustainable progress? It bargains with the continued significance of donor flows for Africa, addressing such concerns as coping with and offering higher relief, and the background and volatility of donor flows. As crude oil costs achieve new highs, it additionally addresses the influence of commodity expense shocks on output variability in African nations; how oil exporting international locations can deal with their new oil wealth; and the potential fiscal and distributional affects of upper oil costs on oil uploading nations.

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This method takes care of this kind of issue, avoids unsupported generalizations, and provides more sensible results. Using this methodology, one finds that African countries have experienced numerous episodes of growth acceleration in the past 30 years, but also a comparable number of growth collapses. In short, Africa’s long-run record of slow and volatile growth reflects a pattern of alternating, identifiable accelerations and declines, rather than random variations of growth rates around the long-run trend.

In chapter 11, Andriamihaja and Vecchi estimate the effect of a rise in petroleum prices on living standards in Madagascar, combining information on expenditure patterns from the Enquete Aupres des Menages 2005 with an input-output model describing how petroleum price increases propagate across economic sectors. The attractiveness of the approach—besides its relative ease of implementation—derives from efficiently combining micro- and macrodata that are commonly available for most countries in a rigorous welfare analysis.

Several interesting questions can immediately be raised: Is Africa finally overcoming the challenges of growth and poverty to claim the 21st century, as posed, for example, by Gelb et al. (2000), Collier (2007), and Ndulu et al. (2007)? In particular, is there indeed a turning point? How widespread are the recent gains among the 47 countries in the region? What are the key factors underlying the recent improvements in Africa’s economic performance? Why have the recent oil price increases not dampened its growth performance?

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Africa at a Turning Point?: Growth, Aid, and External Shocks (World Bank Development Essays) by Delfin Sia Go, John Page

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